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Home TT dữ liệu Biển Đông Prof. Ba Hamzah, THE GEO-POLITICAL REALITY OF REGIONAL CO-EXISTENCE IN A CHINESE LAKE
Details for Prof. Ba Hamzah, THE GEO-POLITICAL REALITY OF REGIONAL CO-EXISTENCE IN A CHINESE LAKE
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NameProf. Ba Hamzah, THE GEO-POLITICAL REALITY OF REGIONAL CO-EXISTENCE IN A CHINESE LAKE
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Prof. Ba Hamzah, Senior Research Fellow, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur
 
"...It is my firm belief that China does not consider the claimants as its military foe or adversaries. Nevertheless, China will continue to issue diplomatic demarches and protest notes for activities which it considers to be an infringement of its sovereignty. In the same vein, I expect the claimants will also continue to complain and protest against China’s activities in the South China Sea. Such protest notes and counter protests are not likely to result in any military showdown. Protest notes are not only essential for domestic consumption but also for foreign policy purposes.

 
 But the real challenge, in my view, is to recognize that the new geo-political landscape in the South China Sea has changed with the emergence of China as an economic and political power; although China’s military might is nowhere that of the United States, it is the strongest military power in the South China Sea.

 
Beijing is acutely aware of the limits of the utility of using force in international relations especially at a time when its rise is shrouded with suspicion; it will not undertake any military misadventure against the claimant state. Hence, some form of modus Vivendi with the claimant states is desirable; the present status quo of co-existence in a Chinese Lake which allows the claimant states some space in expressing their respective national positions in a peaceful manner (like making diplomatic protests) provides political stability in the South China Sea.

 
Within these parameters, it is quite safe to be swimming in the Chinese Lake."
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Created On: 11/27/2009 14:46
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