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Home Database Manila Conference on the South China, 5-6/7/201
Manila Conference on the South China, 5-6/7/201

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Vinod Saighal, Is Time Running Out: The Urgency for Full, Final and Equitable Resolution

of the South China Sea Imbroglio

In 2010 China surprised the world with its assertion that it considered South China Sea  as core interest at par with Taiwan and Tibet. Around that time other countries were subjected to a stronger pitch by China on issues that remain unresolved. The cumulative effect of its hardened posture made the world and more so countries of the region as well as the major players sit up and take note. It resulted in a definitive backlash. Sensing that it may have prematurely disclosed its hand, the Chinese government hastily changed course and has now gone out of its way to reassure the world of its peaceful rise.  Meanwhile major developments that have a bearing on the region have come to the fore. A deeper analysis of the prevailing situation is indicative of opportunities that have surfaced. These could conceivably allow for a  transition to lasting peace in the region. A window of opportunity that could hardly have been envisioned just a year ago has opened up. It is in the interest of all regional players to seize this historic opportunity. The paper examines the avenues that have opened up and explores the pathway for an enduring and just settlement in the South China Sea.


This paper is a geopolitical analysis of the South China Sea disputes. To understand the  importance of the South China Sea in Asian geopolitics, this paper first reviews  Imperial Japan’s attempt to dominate the waters. This paper then analyzes current  disputes from the viewpoint of nuclear deterrence. 


This paper introduces the mainstream reflections of Chinese people in mainland China toward this critical sovereignty issue and to describing the evolving academic viewpoints of the Chinese scholars toward the South China Sea’s territorial disputes along with the developmentof the situation in the region. From academic perspective, this paper, attempts to seek an alternative approach to handle the issue


  Renato Cruz De Castro, Abstract of The 24 July 2010 Hanoi Declaration on the South China Sea Dispute: The Birth of a New Diplomatic Strategy vis-à-vis an Emergent China?

This paper explores the underlying diplomatic and strategic implications of the 2010 Hanoi Declaration as it evokes the application of the diplomatic strategy of constrainment vis-à-vis an emergent China.  It explores the primary question: How does the 2010 Hanoi Declaration put into effect of strategy of constrainment vis-à-vis an emergent China? It also addresses the following corollary questions: 1) What is constrainment? 2) What is the politico/strategic basis of the 2010 Hanoi Declaration? 3) What are the key elements of the Hanoi declaration? 4) How do these elements put into effect a strategy of constrainment vis-à-vis an emergent China? 5) How is China responding to this evolving policy of constrainment? 6) What are the problems in  applying this strategy of constrainment vis-à-vis an emergent China? And 7) What are the limits of constrainment as a long-term strategy in addressing an emergent China?


This paper observes closely the development of ASEAN-China relations, from the past, present to the future, and its impact on the changing attitude of China on what approach should be taken to address the SCS disputes.

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South China Sea Studies

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